Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.027588 0.030312 0.033002 0.035851 0.038780 0.041695 0.044814
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.021676 0.026038 0.030463 0.035258 0.040284 0.045374 0.050901
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017581 0.022999 0.028630 0.034849 0.041467 0.048252 0.055695
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014243 0.020370 0.026895 0.034226 0.042128 0.050312 0.059361
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011754 0.018415 0.025677 0.033962 0.042993 0.052422 0.062913
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.010073 0.017205 0.025148 0.034327 0.044422 0.055028 0.066884
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007961 0.015309 0.023723 0.033598 0.044568 0.056173 0.069215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006497 0.014058 0.022943 0.033510 0.045347 0.057938 0.072146
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005082 0.012731 0.021992 0.033164 0.045784 0.059282 0.074572
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003767 0.011388 0.020943 0.032646 0.045980 0.060320 0.076624
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002286 0.009581 0.019234 0.031298 0.045194 0.060239 0.077423
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001803 0.009191 0.019244 0.031928 0.046608 0.062547 0.080789
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001078 0.008351 0.018775 0.032129 0.047703 0.064689 0.084186
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000309 0.007072 0.017699 0.031618 0.048021 0.066015 0.086749
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005968 0.016767 0.031234 0.048452 0.067442 0.089401
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004847 0.015705 0.030635 0.048592 0.068511 0.091626
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004007 0.014959 0.030382 0.049101 0.069962 0.094241
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003537 0.014716 0.030734 0.050294 0.072162 0.097659
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002632 0.013680 0.030031 0.050216 0.072901 0.099437
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002084 0.013148 0.029946 0.050845 0.074420 0.102059
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001502 0.012451 0.029613 0.051155 0.075558 0.104236
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000946 0.011658 0.029115 0.051244 0.076424 0.106093
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000302 0.010318 0.027819 0.050338 0.076129 0.106632